Cartagena FC U19 vs CFS El Progreso Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
12.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
5º
12º
5º
21
10º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 79 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 71 |
2º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 66 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 60 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
6º
|
31.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 55 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 47 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 38 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 38 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 30 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 27 |
16º
|
24.5% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 24 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 23 |
18º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 83% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 17% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartagena FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CLU
2 - 1
CFC
12%
17%
71%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
CFC
3 - 0
EDM
79%
12%
8%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 2
CFC
35%
23%
42%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
CFC
2 - 1
UCA
34%
22%
44%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
REA
2 - 0
CFC
63%
19%
18%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CFS El Progreso Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
PRO
1 - 3
EFT
16%
18%
66%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
RAN
1 - 2
PRO
37%
23%
40%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 2
ADM
17%
19%
65%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
EFM
1 - 0
PRO
61%
19%
20%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
PRO
1 - 2
VDF
31%
22%
48%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |