Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-4
Cartagena CF vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
43.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartagena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
CAR
2 - 0
ELC
63%
18%
19%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
ELC
1 - 1
CAR
58%
20%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
CAR
3 - 0
RCD
62%
18%
20%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
RCD
2 - 2
CAR
57%
20%
23%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
CAR
4 - 2
CAD
34%
22%
43%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
ZAR
2 - 1
MUR
72%
16%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
MUR
2 - 5
VCF
22%
19%
59%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
FCB
3 - 0
MUR
83%
11%
7%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
MUR
1 - 3
ATH
26%
23%
51%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
RMA
2 - 1
MUR
83%
11%
6%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |