Cartagena CF vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.3%
20.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartagena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1951 |
PUL
2 - 1
CAR
67%
17%
16%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
CAR
4 - 1
BAL
56%
19%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1951 |
CAT
6 - 2
CAR
62%
19%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1951 |
CAR
3 - 1
GRA
51%
22%
27%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 1951 |
VAL
7 - 0
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
UDL
3 - 2
MEL
75%
14%
11%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1951 |
MEL
3 - 2
RCD
56%
21%
23%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1951 |
MLL
4 - 2
MEL
63%
19%
18%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
MEL
4 - 1
SDC
62%
18%
20%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
HER
4 - 1
MEL
67%
18%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |