Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-6
Cartagena CF vs Jerez FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
47.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartagena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1935 |
CAR
6 - 1
NUL
82%
11%
7%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1935 |
NUL
2 - 1
CAR
28%
23%
49%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 1934 |
CAR
2 - 1
HER
36%
23%
41%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1934 |
GIM
2 - 1
CAR
39%
23%
38%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1934 |
CAR
1 - 1
ZAR
25%
23%
52%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Jerez FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1933 |
MAL
3 - 1
JFC
41%
24%
36%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1933 |
JFC
3 - 1
GRA
59%
20%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1933 |
JFC
2 - 1
MAL
76%
14%
10%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1933 |
GRA
3 - 1
JFC
61%
20%
19%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -2 |