Cartagena CF vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
26.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartagena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
CAR
1 - 5
MUR
24%
21%
56%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
GRA
6 - 1
CAR
82%
12%
7%
|
40 | 72 | 32 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
CAR
4 - 1
RCD
28%
22%
51%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | +3 |
| 01 Nov. 1949 |
CAS
2 - 0
CAR
82%
12%
7%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
LEV
1 - 0
CAR
91%
6%
3%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
ELC
1 - 0
GRA
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
RCD
3 - 0
ELC
78%
13%
9%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
ELC
3 - 2
LEV
31%
20%
49%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
ALC
4 - 1
ELC
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
ELC
1 - 0
PUL
63%
17%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |