Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 3-1
Cartagena CF vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
19.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartagena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
ELC
1 - 1
CAR
58%
20%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
CAR
3 - 0
RCD
62%
18%
20%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
RCD
2 - 2
CAR
57%
20%
23%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
CAR
4 - 2
CAD
34%
22%
43%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
LEV
6 - 0
CAR
81%
12%
7%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
ELC
1 - 1
CAR
58%
20%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
SDC
3 - 0
ELC
68%
16%
16%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
CON
3 - 3
ELC
63%
18%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ELC
0 - 1
CON
56%
20%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
ELC
6 - 1
SDC
43%
22%
35%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |