Cartagena CF vs Gimnástica Abad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartagena CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
GAB
0 - 8
CAR
36%
22%
42%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
CAR
3 - 0
CIE
67%
17%
16%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
IMP
5 - 1
CAR
61%
18%
20%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
CAR
5 - 0
ALI
61%
19%
20%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
ELC
2 - 1
CAR
71%
16%
13%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnástica Abad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1947 |
GAB
0 - 8
CAR
36%
22%
42%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1946 |
ORI
7 - 0
GAB
70%
16%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1946 |
GAB
3 - 3
ALM
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1946 |
CRE
5 - 1
GAB
53%
20%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1946 |
GAB
3 - 0
ELD
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |