Casric Stars vs Orbit College analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
11º
7º
39
1º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
63% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
39.5% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casric Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MAG
2 - 2
CST
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
JDR
2 - 2
CST
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CST
1 - 1
UCF
76%
16%
7%
|
60 | 14 | 46 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
CST
2 - 0
PCF
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PRE
0 - 1
CST
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Orbit College
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
ORC
2 - 1
JDR
18%
24%
59%
|
22 | 61 | 39 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ORC
0 - 1
BAR
16%
23%
61%
|
22 | 61 | 39 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
ORC
75%
17%
8%
|
22 | 66 | 44 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
NBM
1 - 2
ORC
80%
14%
7%
|
20 | 53 | 33 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ORC
0 - 1
VFA
12%
20%
68%
|
20 | 55 | 35 | 0 |