Casric Stars vs Hungry Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
29.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
10º
3º
47
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 59 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
3º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
61% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
61% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
62% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
51.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
63.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
54.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
79% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
75% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
13.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
86.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casric Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PRE
1 - 2
CST
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
CST
1 - 3
POL
42%
28%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CST
1 - 0
UTH
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
NBM
2 - 1
CST
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CST
2 - 1
PCF
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Hungry Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
HLF
3 - 0
TTM
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
HLF
1 - 1
PRE
36%
29%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MAG
2 - 1
HLF
39%
27%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HLF
1 - 0
BAR
36%
29%
36%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
HLF
2 - 0
VFA
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |