Carshalton Athletic vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
41.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carshalton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 1
CAR
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 2
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
MER
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 0
BRA
21%
20%
59%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WIN
3 - 0
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WIN
3 - 2
DUL
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WIN
1 - 0
WAT
37%
23%
40%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
WEL
1 - 6
WIN
17%
20%
63%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HAD
2 - 3
WIN
16%
21%
63%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WIN
2 - 2
ALD
23%
21%
57%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |