Carshalton Athletic vs Horsham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
20.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carshalton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAR
26%
25%
50%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2020 |
EAS
2 - 0
CAR
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
5 - 1
POT
75%
16%
9%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
FOL
1 - 3
CAR
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
BOW
0 - 1
CAR
31%
25%
43%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
HOR
2 - 0
CHE
67%
17%
15%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
HOR
2 - 0
HAR
59%
20%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
KIN
1 - 1
HOR
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CRA
2 - 1
HOR
60%
20%
19%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
HOR
3 - 3
BIS
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |