Carshalton Athletic vs East Thurrock United FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carshalton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
POT
2 - 0
CAR
19%
22%
59%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
MER
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
BIS
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
TON
1 - 0
CAR
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 0
BUR
83%
11%
6%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
East Thurrock United FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
EAS
4 - 1
CHE
58%
20%
22%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
HUN
1 - 1
EAS
36%
25%
39%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
EAS
4 - 1
WEL
17%
24%
60%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +5 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
STA
2 - 1
EAS
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
EAS
2 - 3
WES
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |