Carroi vs UE Santa Coloma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
63%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
4º
9º
9º
65
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
84% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
PAC
35%
23%
42%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 4
ATL
13%
19%
67%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 2
FCO
28%
23%
49%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
4 - 1
CAR
69%
18%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
UE Santa Coloma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
UES
1 - 0
PEN
52%
23%
26%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
UES
2 - 0
ESA
63%
21%
15%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
UES
14%
21%
65%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
UES
2 - 0
FCO
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 0
UES
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |