Liga Andorra Playoffs Promotion Final
Global 5-1
Carroi vs La Massana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
57.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
LAM
0 - 2
CAR
72%
16%
12%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 0
PEN
50%
21%
29%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
UEE
1 - 1
CAR
70%
18%
13%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 2
UES
23%
25%
53%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 3
CAR
57%
20%
23%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
La Massana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
LAM
0 - 2
CAR
72%
16%
12%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
LAM
1 - 0
FCE
70%
17%
13%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
FCO
3 - 1
LAM
29%
23%
48%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
QES
1 - 5
LAM
18%
19%
63%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
FCE
1 - 4
LAM
26%
22%
51%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |