Carroi vs Pas de la Casa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
41.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
4º
9º
9º
17
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
84% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 4
ATL
13%
19%
67%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 2
FCO
28%
23%
49%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
PEN
4 - 1
CAR
69%
18%
14%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAC
2 - 2
CAR
59%
20%
21%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 5
UES
14%
22%
64%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Pas de la Casa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PAC
0 - 1
PEN
34%
23%
43%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ESA
0 - 0
PAC
26%
23%
51%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
UES
0 - 0
PAC
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PAC
2 - 2
CAR
59%
20%
21%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
INT
2 - 0
PAC
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |