Carroi vs Atlètic Amèrica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
4º
9º
9º
11
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 13 |
8º
|
86% | |
|
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
92.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
84% | 2.5% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 92.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carroi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SCO
4 - 0
CAR
77%
16%
7%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 3
FCS
15%
22%
63%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
PAC
35%
23%
42%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 4
ATL
13%
19%
67%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Atlètic Amèrica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AME
0 - 5
ESA
54%
21%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
INT
2 - 0
AME
81%
14%
5%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
INT
1 - 0
AME
82%
13%
6%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SCO
4 - 2
AME
77%
16%
7%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
AME
0 - 1
FCS
14%
21%
65%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |