Carrick Rangers vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
4º
6º
6º
31
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 8 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 5 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 5 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CRU
3 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 4
GLE
17%
24%
60%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 1
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 5
GLE
16%
24%
60%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
POR
1 - 3
CAR
31%
26%
44%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 2
CLI
9%
21%
70%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LIN
7 - 0
NEW
76%
17%
7%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
3 - 4
POR
55%
23%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
GLE
26%
24%
51%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 2
NEW
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +2 |