Carrick Rangers vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
9º
8º
23
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
WAR
1 - 0
CAR
38%
23%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
BAL
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
CAR
4 - 4
ARD
48%
24%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAN
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2022 |
BRF
0 - 2
CAR
34%
22%
45%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 1
DUN
48%
24%
29%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
BAN
2 - 6
NEW
21%
24%
55%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
WAR
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 1
NEY
52%
24%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
BLU
3 - 4
NEW
12%
17%
71%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |