NIFL Premiership Playoffs Promotion Final
Global 3-6
Carrick Rangers vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
53.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2018 |
NEW
3 - 2
CAR
66%
20%
15%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
WAR
2 - 3
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
GLE
1 - 2
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 1
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
ARD
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2018 |
NEW
3 - 2
CAR
66%
20%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
HAR
0 - 3
NEW
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 3
HAR
57%
24%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
NEW
0 - 0
POR
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 0
LOU
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |