Carrick Rangers vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
2º
5º
2º
45
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
47 | 15 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
50 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 0 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 3
CAR
20%
23%
57%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAL
53%
24%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 2
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 3
LIN
24%
25%
50%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 2
CAR
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
LOU
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LOU
3 - 1
GLE
49%
23%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LOU
2 - 3
BAL
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GLE
1 - 2
LOU
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LOU
2 - 3
CLI
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |