Carrick Rangers vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
65.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
9º
8º
68
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 4
COL
16%
24%
60%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CLI
3 - 2
CAR
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
WAR
1 - 0
CAR
38%
23%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
BAL
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 1
RIG
29%
23%
48%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 3
LIN
19%
25%
57%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
RIG
2 - 2
LIN
62%
20%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
LIN
4 - 0
POR
73%
18%
9%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
ZUR
3 - 0
LIN
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |