Carrick Rangers vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
61.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 2
CAR
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 2
BAL
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
GLE
2 - 0
CAR
69%
19%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
COL
3 - 0
CAR
70%
20%
11%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
GLE
6 - 0
CAR
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
CRU
1 - 2
LIN
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
LIN
3 - 0
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
CLI
4 - 3
LIN
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
LIN
6 - 0
WAR
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |