Carrick Rangers vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
12º
11º
39
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 71 |
1º
|
98.5% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 55 |
2º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 54 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 50 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 48 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 47 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 47 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 46 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 42 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 41 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 30 |
11º
|
93.5% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 21 |
12º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BAL
0 - 3
CAR
24%
22%
54%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
GLE
2 - 1
CAR
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 0
BAL
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
LIN
3 - 0
CAR
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
CAR
4 - 3
NEW
75%
17%
9%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
LAR
1 - 1
POR
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
LAR
2 - 1
BAL
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
GLE
1 - 1
LAR
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
LAR
0 - 1
CLI
45%
23%
32%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
LAR
2 - 0
CLI
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |