Carrick Rangers vs Glentoran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
46%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
2º
12º
12º
14
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 62 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 55 |
2º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 54 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 53 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 52 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 50 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 49 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 42 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 41 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 36 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 31 |
11º
|
33% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 26 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0.5% | 66% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
99.5% | 34% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
LOU
3 - 0
CAR
47%
24%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 0
GLE
46%
24%
30%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 0
DUN
54%
22%
24%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GLE
0 - 7
CAR
8%
14%
78%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 3
BAN
36%
23%
41%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Glentoran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
GLE
0 - 0
COL
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
POR
1 - 2
GLE
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
GLE
0 - 1
CRU
47%
25%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LIS
0 - 6
GLE
9%
17%
74%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 6
GLE
26%
23%
51%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |