Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
55.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
9º
8º
39
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
COL
1 - 0
CAR
74%
17%
8%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 3
CLI
12%
22%
66%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
BAL
18%
21%
62%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 3
CRU
11%
20%
69%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
LAR
0 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 3
CLI
29%
26%
46%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 1
GLE
17%
21%
62%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 6
LIN
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
GLE
4 - 2
CRU
26%
25%
49%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 2
GLE
14%
18%
68%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |