Carrick Rangers vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.3%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
80%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.2%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 2
BAL
54%
23%
24%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
ARD
1 - 0
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
GLE
25%
25%
49%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
BAL
3 - 1
CAR
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 3
COL
14%
24%
62%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
BAL
3 - 1
GLE
36%
24%
40%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
GLE
1 - 0
WAR
79%
14%
7%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
DUN
0 - 3
GLE
20%
22%
58%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
GLE
3 - 4
CRU
48%
24%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
ARD
0 - 2
GLE
18%
21%
61%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |