Carrick Rangers vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
4º
6º
6º
28
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 11 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 8 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 5 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 5 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 2
NEW
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
CRU
3 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
0 - 4
GLE
17%
24%
60%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 1
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 5
GLE
16%
24%
60%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 1
DUN
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 1
CRU
12%
17%
71%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 5
LIN
12%
22%
66%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CLI
1 - 2
DUN
79%
15%
7%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | +2 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 1
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |