Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
64.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
9º
8º
62
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 1
LAR
16%
24%
60%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
CAR
65%
21%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
5 - 0
BAN
61%
20%
19%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
GLE
2 - 2
CAR
67%
20%
14%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
LIN
13%
22%
65%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
CRU
3 - 0
BAL
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
CRU
2 - 1
LIN
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
CRU
17%
20%
63%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
CRU
1 - 1
LAR
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 2
CRU
16%
23%
61%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | +2 |