Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
64.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
DUN
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
POR
0 - 0
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 1
WAR
49%
24%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
CSF
78%
14%
8%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
DUN
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
WAR
1 - 1
CRU
17%
22%
62%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CRU
1 - 0
CLI
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
CRU
1 - 1
GLE
50%
23%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 3
CRU
14%
19%
67%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
COL
0 - 2
CRU
23%
24%
53%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |