Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
52.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
6 - 0
DER
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 2
CAR
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
KRF
0 - 5
CAR
23%
21%
55%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 2
CAR
47%
23%
30%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
INS
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 0
GLE
52%
24%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
CRU
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 0
CRU
19%
23%
57%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CRU
2 - 0
DON
84%
12%
5%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GLE
1 - 0
CRU
20%
23%
57%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | -1 |