Carrick Rangers vs Crumlin Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
DUN
50%
24%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 5
GLE
18%
22%
61%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 0
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
COL
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 0
CAR
57%
21%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Crumlin Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
CSF
3 - 2
OUS
53%
21%
25%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 1
CSF
67%
19%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CSF
5 - 0
DDO
83%
12%
6%
|
37 | 8 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
BAL
4 - 0
CSF
85%
11%
5%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
LIS
0 - 1
CSF
74%
16%
10%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |