Carrick Rangers vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
59.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
4º
9º
8º
58
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CLI
3 - 2
CAR
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
34%
26%
40%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
WAR
1 - 0
CAR
38%
23%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
BAL
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
CAR
4 - 4
ARD
48%
24%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
POR
0 - 2
COL
13%
23%
64%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
COL
3 - 1
CLI
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
COL
4 - 1
ARD
74%
17%
10%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
COL
4 - 1
AUN
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
POR
1 - 4
COL
10%
18%
73%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |