Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
2º
12º
12º
14
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
20 | 62 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 55 |
2º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 54 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
|
5º
|
14 | 53 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 52 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 50 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 49 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 42 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
18 | 41 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 36 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 31 |
11º
|
33% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 26 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0.5% | 71.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
99.5% | 28.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DUN
4 - 0
CAR
61%
21%
19%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 0
CAR
64%
20%
16%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 4
BAL
47%
25%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
COL
3 - 1
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 1
POR
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
CLI
1 - 3
LAR
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 2
CLI
22%
25%
54%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
CLI
0 - 0
LIN
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LOU
1 - 5
CLI
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
GLE
1 - 0
CLI
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |