Carrick Rangers vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 3
CLI
19%
23%
58%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
GLE
0 - 1
CAR
80%
13%
7%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 1
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LIN
3 - 0
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
COL
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
COL
1 - 1
ARD
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ARD
0 - 2
LIN
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
ARD
3 - 3
BAL
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
GLE
1 - 0
ARD
51%
25%
23%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CRU
1 - 0
ARD
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |