Carregado vs Trofense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
54.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 2
BMA
21%
28%
52%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
SCF
3 - 0
CAR
70%
18%
11%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 2
CHA
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 1
CAR
60%
24%
17%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 2
EST
19%
26%
55%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
TRO
1 - 0
SPB
28%
28%
44%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
GFC
4 - 0
TRO
53%
25%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
UDL
1 - 1
TRO
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
TRO
0 - 0
PEN
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 1
TRO
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |