Carregado vs Torreense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
43.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 0
LOU
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 1
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 1
ATL
87%
9%
4%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 0
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -3 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
UDL
1 - 0
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Torreense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
MAF
2 - 1
TOR
60%
22%
19%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 2
ALC
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 5
FAT
48%
27%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
UDL
2 - 1
TOR
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -3 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 0
TOR
22%
23%
55%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |