Carregado vs Ribeira Brava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
LOU
65%
20%
16%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FAT
2 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
20%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 3
PIN
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 2
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
MAF
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ribeira Brava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 1
RIB
72%
19%
9%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 2
LOU
57%
23%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 2
RIB
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 1
OSL
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 1
RIB
63%
24%
13%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | -1 |