Carregado vs Quarteirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
16.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FAR
2 - 1
CAR
76%
17%
7%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
TOR
30%
24%
45%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
OEI
1 - 1
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
PIN
64%
20%
17%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CFB
1 - 0
CAR
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Quarteirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
QUA
1 - 1
ORI
23%
24%
54%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
QUA
0 - 0
FAR
16%
25%
60%
|
39 | 67 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
QUA
70%
19%
11%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
QUA
1 - 0
OEI
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PIN
1 - 1
QUA
60%
22%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |