Carregado vs Portimonense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
45.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
OLI
3 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 1
SPC
24%
29%
47%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SCF
3 - 0
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
FAT
1 - 2
CAR
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 0
AVE
23%
26%
51%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Portimonense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
POR
0 - 0
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
BMA
0 - 0
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 0
POR
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ACA
2 - 1
POR
57%
25%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
SCF
51%
25%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |