Carregado vs Moura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
4 - 0
MON
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 3
CAR
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LOU
2 - 2
CAR
36%
26%
37%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 1
FAT
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PIN
0 - 2
CAR
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Moura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MOU
1 - 0
CAL
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
MON
2 - 0
MOU
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
EVN
2 - 1
MOU
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MOU
0 - 3
ATL
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MOU
1 - 0
1DE
46%
25%
30%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |