Carregado vs Lourinhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
29.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 1
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 1
ATL
87%
9%
4%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 0
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -3 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
UDL
1 - 0
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAS
34%
25%
41%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lourinhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LOU
1 - 2
MAF
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LOU
0 - 1
LUS
50%
23%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 0
TOR
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
FAB
3 - 3
LOU
77%
15%
7%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 1
AMO
27%
24%
48%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |