Carregado vs Louletano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
FAT
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
MAF
4 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
1DE
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
SER
4 - 0
CAR
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ORI
5 - 1
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Louletano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
LOU
1 - 1
QUA
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
FAR
2 - 2
LOU
81%
15%
4%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
LOU
0 - 1
TOR
18%
22%
60%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
OEI
1 - 0
LOU
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LOU
0 - 2
PIN
37%
26%
37%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -2 |