Carregado vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.1%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
54.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
17.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
TRO
3 - 0
CAR
74%
18%
8%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
SPC
1 - 1
CAR
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 1
SPC
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
GFC
3 - 1
PEN
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
GFC
0 - 0
OLI
71%
18%
12%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 1
GFC
34%
26%
41%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
OLH
1 - 0
GFC
48%
28%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
GFC
1 - 1
AVE
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |