Carregado vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
51.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 2
SAN
19%
26%
56%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAR
71%
20%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 0
GFC
18%
28%
55%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
TRO
3 - 0
CAR
74%
18%
8%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
SPC
1 - 1
CAR
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
AVE
3 - 2
PEN
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
TRO
2 - 2
AVE
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AVE
2 - 2
CHA
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
SCF
0 - 0
AVE
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
EST
1 - 0
AVE
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |