Carregado vs CF Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
UDL
0 - 0
CAR
70%
20%
10%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
RIB
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 0
LOU
65%
20%
16%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FAT
2 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
20%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 3
PIN
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
CF Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CFB
0 - 0
QUA
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CFB
1 - 2
FAF
18%
22%
60%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FAR
1 - 1
CFB
81%
14%
5%
|
37 | 69 | 32 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
3 - 5
CFB
38%
24%
38%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
OEL
0 - 0
CFB
79%
15%
7%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | 0 |