Carregado vs Casa Pia AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LOU
1 - 0
CAR
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
SER
38%
25%
38%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FAT
3 - 0
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 4
MAF
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
1DE
1 - 0
CAR
58%
23%
20%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Casa Pia AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
CAS
0 - 1
QUA
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FAR
1 - 0
CAS
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
CAS
2 - 0
TOR
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
OEI
0 - 2
CAS
28%
25%
47%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CAS
3 - 0
PIN
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |