Carregado vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 2
CAR
16%
21%
64%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
UDL
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 3
ADP
87%
9%
4%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FAT
4 - 0
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MAF
2 - 1
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 1
MAF
21%
26%
53%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 0
CAL
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 2
CAL
59%
23%
19%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
LOU
50%
24%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FAT
1 - 0
CAL
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |