Carregado vs Riachense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 0
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
UDL
1 - 0
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAS
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
LOU
1 - 0
CAR
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
SER
38%
25%
38%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Riachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 2
MAF
13%
22%
65%
|
16 | 55 | 39 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 0
ATL
72%
17%
11%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 2
SOU
14%
20%
66%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
POM
5 - 0
ATL
79%
14%
7%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
PAM
16%
21%
63%
|
16 | 35 | 19 | 0 |