Carrarese sub 17 vs Bologna U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
74%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+198%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
8º
12º
12º
17
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 57 |
1º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 48 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 46 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 39 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 37 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 37 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 33 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 29 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 28 |
9º
|
23% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 26 |
10º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 23 |
11º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 14 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 11 |
13º
|
74% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SMP
2 - 2
CAR
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
MOD
17%
19%
64%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PIS
0 - 1
CAR
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 5
JUV
8%
12%
80%
|
8 | 43 | 35 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CES
1 - 1
CAR
86%
9%
4%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Bologna U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 1
JUV
30%
23%
48%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CES
1 - 0
BOL
32%
21%
46%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 1
GEN
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SPE
0 - 3
BOL
16%
19%
65%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 1
REG
85%
10%
5%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |