Carrarese vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
47%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
REG
1 - 3
CAR
56%
25%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2002 |
CAR
1 - 4
SPE
21%
26%
53%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
LIV
4 - 1
CAR
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 2
ASL
26%
27%
47%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
PAD
4 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2002 |
TRE
0 - 0
PAD
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2002 |
SPA
1 - 2
TRE
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
TRE
1 - 0
CES
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
ACL
2 - 0
TRE
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
TRE
1 - 1
VAR
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |